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イスラエル総選挙 苦戦?〜市民の支持失う強硬路線〜背景に深まる国際的な孤立/今夜のN9
http://www.asyura2.com/15/kokusai10/msg/279.html
投稿者 仁王像 日時 2015 年 3 月 17 日 22:14:29: jdZgmZ21Prm8E
 

 (今夜のN9)

〔イスラエル総選挙 苦戦?〜市民の支持失う強硬路線〕
 4期目を目指すネタニヤフ首相だが、イスラエルは周辺を敵対勢力に囲まれている。ネタニヤフが最優先課題とするのが安全保障である。去年夏にはイスラム原理主義組織ハマスが実行支配するパレスチナのガザ地区に大規模な軍事作戦を展開、市民を中心に2100人が犠牲になり、国際社会から強い批判を受けた。
 それでも強硬路線を続ける与党リクードは、選挙戦でISまで引合いに出した動画を公開、脅威を煽り、自分たちが政権を失えば過激派の勢いを助長させるだけだと訴えた。
 去年12月の世論調査ではリクードが改選前を大きく上回る30議席を獲得する勢いだったが、今月に入って20議席程度に落ち込んでいる。政権交代の可能性まで出てきている。

 佐伯敏「何故与党は苦戦を強いられているのか。背景の一つが、深まる国際的な孤立である。ヨーロッパ各国の議会で、パレスチナを国家として承認するよう求める決議が相次いで可決されなど、イスラエルへの圧力が強まっている。さらに反イスラエル感情に乗じたテロも相次いでいる。パリ、デンマークではユダヤ教徒向けの食料品店や礼拝所が狙われた。国内でもユダヤ人が襲われる事件も続き、対話を拒むネタニヤフの強硬路線に懐疑的な意見も高まっている。
 治安への不安や生活が改善しない現状へ不満を募らせている。こうした声を取り込んでいるのが、労働党などでつくる中道左派の統一会派である。

 佐伯「(統一会派は)自分たちが政権を握れば中東和平交渉が進展し、イスラエルに真の平和が訪れると主張。和平交渉に真剣に取り組んでこなかったとして、ネタニヤフへ批判を強めている。
 政権への反発は、これまで選挙に関心のなかった若者の間にも、将来への不安として広がっている。インターネットを通じて集まった若者たちは、中道左派への投票を呼びかける運動を続けている。現政権の強硬路線は、パレスチナとの和平交渉の進展を妨げるだけでなく、社会の分断や暴力の応酬を拡大させていると感じている。
 中東が混迷の度を増すにつれ、国の安全を守るとして強硬姿勢を加速させて行きたいイスラエル、その路線の継続か、それともパレスチナとの対話へ舵が切られるのか、イスラエルは今後の地域情勢を左右する大きな転機を迎えている」

 投票は日本時間の明日朝に締め切られる。  

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01. 仁王像 2015年3月17日 22:17:27 : jdZgmZ21Prm8E : Fair7QwAsE
 (関連)

・イスラエルとの闘いの熾烈化(2015年2月7日 田中 宇)
 http://www.asyura2.com/15/kokusai10/msg/104.html
 投稿者 HIMAZIN 日時 2015 年 2 月 07 日 22:35:28: OVGN3lMPHO62U


02. 2015年3月17日 22:28:05 : jrAiRKrO0k
な〜んの心配もない!
安倍がついてる。
アメリカの戦争基地外共和党がついてる!
人を殺したくて殺したくてしょうがないだろう。
安倍にもその気配が顔にはっきり出てる。
殺す、殺す、焼き尽くす、奪い尽くす、資源を掠め取る、女を犯す!
安倍も、ネタニヤフも、共和党も返り血を浴びている自分の姿を想像してセンズリ搔いてるだろう。

03. 2015年3月18日 12:58:10 : nJF6kGWndY

ふんばったな

http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/03/18/us-israel-election-idUSKBN0MC2G620150318
Netanyahu claims victory in Israel election after hard right shift
BY JEFFREY HELLER AND DAN WILLIAMS
JERUSALEM Tue Mar 17, 2015 11:17pm EDT

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Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu waves to supporters at the party headquarters in Tel Aviv March 18, 2015. REUTERS-Amir Cohen
1 OF 15. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu waves to supporters at the party headquarters in Tel Aviv March 18, 2015.
CREDIT: REUTERS/AMIR COHEN
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(Reuters) - Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu claimed victory in Israel's election after exit polls showed he had erased his center-left rivals' lead with a hard rightward shift in which he abandoned a commitment to negotiate a Palestinian state.

Difficult coalition talks still lie ahead, in a politically divided country where no one party has ever won an outright majority in parliament.

Isaac Herzog, Netanyahu's chief opponent and head of the center-left Zionist Union, said "everything is still open" and that he already had spoken to party leaders about forming a government.

But after days in which Zionist Union appeared poised to defeat Netanyahu's Likud, the exit polls late on Tuesday put the two parties in a dead heat. Netanyahu sought to seize the momentum, taking to Twitter to portray the photo finish as a triumph that defied earlier predictions.

Political commentators said Netanyahu seemed to have the easier path to forming a cabinet, with the support of traditional rightist allies - which would put him on course to becoming Israel's longest serving leader. But he would also need the backing of kingmaking centrists, who were non-committal on their future moves after the polls closed.

Netanyahu pulled off the feat with a pitch for ultranationalist votes in the final days of the hard-fought campaign, using tactics that could deepen a feud with the White House.

Netanyahu has focused on Iran's nuclear program and militant Islam. But many Israelis had said they were tiring of the message, and the center-left campaigned on social and economic issues, surging in polls before election day.

An exit poll for Channel 2 TV gave Likud 28 seats and Zionist Union 27 in the 120-member parliament. Channel 10, revising its survey several hours after voting ended, put that margin at 27 seats for Likud to 26 for Zionist Union. Channel 1 had both parties tied at 27.

"Against all odds: a great victory for Likud," a beaming Netanyahu told cheering supporters in a speech at party election headquarters in Tel Aviv. He said he had spoken to leaders of other right-wing parties and urged them to form a "strong and stable" government with him without delay.

"He's a magician, he's a magician," the crowd chanted.

Opinion polls in the run-up to the ballot had shown Zionist Union with a three- to four-seat advantage over Likud, suggesting the public had warmed to Herzog, who won over voters with flashes of wit after enduring being lampooned for his short stature and reedy voice.

An initial count gave Likud a 32-24 seat lead over Zionist Union but that was based on votes from 57 percent of the polling stations. Final results were not expected until later on Wednesday.

COALITION BLOCS

A new centrist party, Kulanu, led by former communications minister Moshe Kahlon could tip the scales in coalition talks. After the balloting ended, Kahlon said he did not rule out a partnership with either Likud or Zionist Union.

The exit polls gave right-wing and religious parties about 54 seats, and left-leaning factions, 43 - both figures still short of a governing majority. It may be weeks before the country has a new government, and until then, Netanyahu will remain prime minister.

Turnout was around 72 percent, higher than the last election in 2013.

After the final results are in, and following consultations with political parties, it will be up to President Reuven Rivlin to name the candidate he deems best placed to try to form a coalition. The nominee will have up to 42 days to do so.

Rivlin has called for national unity, signaling he favors a government that would pair both Likud and Zionist Union - a partnership Netanyahu rejected during the campaign.

Naftali Bennett, leader of the ultranationalist Jewish Home party, said he had spoken with Netanyahu and agreed to open "accelerated" coalition talks with him.

But Zionist Union could find a lifeline from Kulanu and from Arab parties that united for the first time in a joint list of parliamentary candidates and came in third in the exit polls.

While they are unlikely to join a government, the Arab parties could give a center-left coalition tacit support and create a block against Netanyahu.

If the center-left is to assemble a government, it will also need the support of ultra-Orthodox parties, which the polls said would win 13-14 seats.

Ramping up his bid for right-wing votes, Netanyahu on election day accused left-wing groups of trying to remove him from power by busing Arab-Israeli voters to polling stations, a statement that drew a sharp rebuke from Washington.

Some political rivals accused Netanyahu of racism over the remarks.

The Obama administration has been angry at Netanyahu since he addressed the U.S. Congress two weeks ago at the invitation of Republican lawmakers, to oppose ongoing U.S. nuclear negotiations with Iran.

In the last days of campaigning as he sought to persuade supporters of smaller right-wing parties to "come home" to Likud, Netanyahu promised more building of Jewish settlements. Cautioning that yielding territory would open the way for attacks against Israel by Islamic militants, Netanyahu said the Palestinians would not get their own state if he were re-elected.

Those sweeping promises, if carried out, would further isolate Israel from the United States and the European Union, which believe a peace deal must accommodate Palestinian demands for a state in the occupied West Bank, East Jerusalem and Gaza.

Saeb Erekat, chief Palestinian negotiator in peace talks with Israel that collapsed in April, told Reuters it appeared Netanyahu would form the next government.

Citing the Israeli leader's rejection of a Palestinian state, Erekat said: "Mr. Netanyahu has done nothing in his political life but to destroy the two-state solution."

(Additional reporting by Luke Baker, Maayan Lubell, Allyn Fisher-Ilan and Ori Lewis; Editing by Peter Graff and Howard Goller)

FILED UNDER: WORLDISRAEL
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04. 2015年3月18日 13:02:32 : nJF6kGWndY

ただし、本人にとっても、国家にとっても、かなりの茨の道が続くな

05. 2015年3月18日 17:28:36 : W6DNyvDEUk
ここずっとイスラエルの保守回帰は既定。
ほかに候補がいないってことさ。
ネタニヤフはオバマの任期切れだけ待っていればいいだけ。
その後の候補は共和党、民主党問わずイスラエル政策でオバマを踏襲する人物はいるわけがないからね。
とはいえ、イスラエルはロシアとも気脈が通じているんで、ロシアに乗り換える素振りも見せるとか、まーいろいろやるだろうな。

06. 2015年3月18日 18:37:07 : x9UiOoFgbM
ありゃ、リクードが勝っちゃったか。
じゃ、これでネタニアフ続投で決まりだな(笑)

シオニストユニオンの議席獲得数は、世論調査平均とピッタリあっているし、予想と比べて議席を一番落としたのは、前回選挙で躍進した右派政党・・・というところを見ると、右派支持の有権者が、最後の最後でリクードに振れたのかもね。

ネタニアフの米議会の演説も、いろいろ言われたが、結果的に右派ブロック支持者の危機感を煽ることで、リクードを利したのかも。

いや、しぶといねネタニアフは(笑)

で爺


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